BJP’s deepening crisis

The Hindu today came out with an editorial that is fairly accurate in its analysis but off the mark in its prognosis.
Here is the editorial:
Date:16/06/2009 URL: http://www.thehindu.com/2009/06/16/stories/2009061655290800.htm
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Opinion - Editorials

BJP’s deepening crisis

Nothing fails like failure, judging from the upheavals in the Bharatiya Janata Party following its worst electoral performance in two decades. A defeat on this scale was bound to lead to some discord but the profound unrest points to an existential crisis in a party whose claimed strengths have been its discipline and its rock-solid faith in Hindutva. Today these ideals appear under serious challenge, with dissidents rising in open rebellion against the leadership and ques tioning the mobilisational utility of Hindutva. At the centre of the storm are former External Affairs Minister Jaswant Singh and former Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha. Both have hit out at the leadership quartet of Lal Krishna Advani, Rajnath Singh, Sushma Swaraj, and Arun Jaitley. Significantly, the anger seems directed more at the last three than at Mr. Advani who was re-elected party leader in the Lok Sabha. The reason for this is twofold. Mr. Advani, who went into the election as the party’s prime ministerial candidate, owned up responsibility for the defeat, although he was quickly persuaded to stay on. Secondly, the dissidents know that the 80-year-old leader’s re-appointment is a holding operation and that the real jockeying for power will start later this year when a successor will be chosen.

Naturally, last week’s key decisions — the appointment of Ms Swaraj as deputy leader in the Lok Sabha and Mr. Jaitley as leader in the Rajya Sabha, with Mr. Rajnath Singh continuing as party chief — have raised hackles in some quarters. Mr. Jaswant Singh and Mr. Sinha, who lead the BJP’s middle rung, feel outmanoeuvred by the ‘gang of three’ who seem to have promoted the impression that one among them would lead the party into the 16th general election. But there is more to this churning than the personal ambitions of a handful of malcontents. The BJP’s rout has brought home the brutal truth that Hindutva — and by extension the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh — has little purchase among today’s young voters. That the RSS has been pitching for a younger leadership underscores the irony. The BJP’s biggest problem is the stifling relationship in which it is trapped with its ideological and ‘social’ mentor. Sections of the party want a rethink on the association — Mr. Jaswant Singh has gone so far as to claim that he did not know what Hindutva meant — yet predictably the leadership has squashed speculation through loud reiterations of loyalty to the command centre. With the revolt gathering force, the party can take one of two courses: take the RSS bull by its horns and move away from the disruptive influence of Hindutva — or fall back on its Jana Sangh pre-history of ideological obscurantism, isolation, and political stagnation.


I think, BJP has hardly any choice but disintegrate. Its best moment was in 1999 when its Hindutva frenzy bred success facilitated forming a government with the support of about 23 other parties with opportunism as their main ideology. It thought that it was the only natural and legitimate ruling dispensation for India as the 'Hindus' were about 80% of the population and it was "the" party of the hindus. Therefore, it was 'shocked' by the 2004 results, and it preferred to delude itself with the explanation that the defeat was a freak accident. When the 2009 elections repeated the previous verdict with more devastating losses, even the delusions deserted its leaders, who are now savaging on each other.
Since a letter has to be brief and compact, I sent only the following to The Hindu. As always, I am not anxious that it publishes. But I wish it does, so that I can develop it for the Open Page.

This is the letter I sent:
Sir,
The editorial, BJP’s deepening crisis (June 16), has hit the bull’s eye as far as the gravity of the crisis is concerned, but the solution it suggested may not work. After throwing ‘hindutva’ water out, there won’t be a BJP baby left to save. BJP was launched to first win and then keep in perpetuity the ‘Hindu’ vote bank, which its leaders thought was there just waiting to be milked. But the Hindus never were or will ever be a single vote bank, because, the grand “Hindu” identity is an artificial construct, the real being the sub-identities of castes and sub-castes, which have already aligned themselves with various regional and national parties that are now occupying almost all available political spaces. BJP is, therefore, left with only a Hobson’s choice – disintegrate!
P.P.Sudhakaran
Bangalore
Prof. P.P.Sudhakaran (Retd.)
301, East Mansion,
No.2, Hutchins Road, Cooke Town,
Bangalore. 560 005.
Ph. 080 25467483